Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 1.028581 1.246050 1.477249 1.739391 2.026506 2.329716 2.672465
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.784205 1.088757 1.435726 1.852066 2.330596 2.856805 3.472894
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.661029 1.012113 1.431499 1.953153 2.570213 3.264470 4.092942
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.540166 0.916840 1.388880 1.996476 2.734235 3.581137 4.608314
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.433810 0.819785 1.327205 2.001747 2.840352 3.820080 5.024932
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.325554 0.701166 1.223221 1.942092 2.858165 3.947653 5.306029
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.240330 0.599335 1.128674 1.883509 2.868275 4.058888 5.561872
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.180328 0.524116 1.061389 1.852632 2.906581 4.199018 5.847719
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.146300 0.485921 1.042757 1.883606 3.021256 4.430928 6.242851
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.113787 0.442504 1.011110 1.892775 3.104909 4.622688 6.588299
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.080591 0.387327 0.954630 1.862023 3.132409 4.741752 6.843205
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.076304 0.396604 1.003009 1.983048 3.363287 5.118341 7.416080
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.069248 0.400143 1.046009 2.103640 3.604241 5.521225 8.039118
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.062132 0.402014 1.086441 2.221934 3.844726 5.927159 8.670920
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.055677 0.403457 1.125040 2.336785 4.080099 6.326363 9.294362
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.042956 0.381298 1.119525 2.383811 4.222046 6.605933 9.769735
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.029249 0.347511 1.088992 2.390009 4.305891 6.809578 10.149732
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.014620 0.294270 1.014894 2.323766 4.285392 6.875631 10.355489
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.005615 0.247034 0.944921 2.258803 4.262858 6.936204 10.552093
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001595 0.213169 0.896558 2.224488 4.280478 7.046517 10.808730
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000461 0.199343 0.890200 2.258900 4.396992 7.287911 11.232817
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000006 0.180846 0.870395 2.269078 4.477311 7.480693 11.594712
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.154233 0.826386 2.234927 4.490638 7.582610 11.839238